Sunday 18 August 2013

The Dirty War against Dato Seri Najib

Lately, some prominent blogs have been openly calling for the resignation of Dato Seri Najib Tun Razak, to be replaced by his Deputy, Tan Sri Muhiyiddin Yassin. Among the reasons cited are a general loss in confidence in the country, religious polemics between the various faiths and upsurge in crime.





The campaign against Dato Seri Najib has some similarities and some differences with the similar campaign launched against Dato Seri Najib's predecessor, Tun Abdullah Ahmad Badawi  that led to Tun Abdullah Badawi's subsequent resignation both as Prime Minister and UMNO President ironically in favour of Dato Seri Najib. The similarities are that both campaigns use the social media channel to engender lack of confidence with the PM and are being waged by those who are pro Dr Mahathir in their outlook. The major difference is that right now the campaign against the Prime Minister lacks any single leader. Tun Dr Mahathir has yet to make public his support for a change in leadership at the top and Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin is well out of the public limelight.

Instead, the agitators for quite stuck in what they can do. Without any single leader, the campaign is still being conducted in a guerilla warfare style and the focus of the attacks are being concentrated on the Prime Minister's circle of advisers as opposed to the Prime Minister himself.

Given these circumstances, it is clear that Tan Sri Muhiyiddin is waiting to see whether he gets sufficient nominations from the UMNO branches as the validation for him to take on his boss. With this, Tan Sri Muhiyiddin can argue that the pressure for the change came from the grassroots and was not down to his personal political ambitions.

But here in lies the catch. He just won't get the nominations required. By and large, the UMNO branches assemblies will be a strictly controlled affair and many will not want to see a major contest at a stage when UMNO is quite weak. Dato Seri Najib will be returned as President, Tan Sri Muhiyiddin as Deputy.  Tan Sri Muhiyiddin simply has too much to lose for him to overtly lend his support in the campaign against his boss. His team lacks the grassroots, the money and the machinery to conduct this. Of course, this was in stark contrast to his actions as Minister of International Trade and Industry, when he publicly lambasted his previous boss, Tun Abdullah, and acted as a "wingman" to Tun Dr Mahathir's campaign against the then Prime Minister Abdullah Badawi.

A second reason is that UMNO right now is in an extremely fractured state. Local divisional level politics dominate the order of the day as the division politics is what that matters. Because these are the mechanisms in which the small contracts are dished out and play a key role in UMNO's system of politics of patronage. In this present day scenario, divisions that openly call for a change in leadership run the risk of being blackballed in getting patronage from the top.  So from a game theorist view, its a virtual certainty that the President will be returned unopposed.  In fact, I would think it is much more likely for Tan Sri Muhiyiddin to face a threat for the Deputy President's post that it is for Dato Seri Najib to face a credible threat for the President's post. This possible scenario has also led to Tan Sri Muhiyiddin  publicly disassociating himself from any campaign against the Prime Minister, for fear that the PM could turn the guns on him.

Even though the PM is unlikely to be challenged officially within the party, he will leak support from the population as a result of this "dirty war".  The policies crafted by his Government are being questioned and blamed for everything from the spike in murder cases to the rise in Shia'a belief among Malaysia's majority Muslim population. While this may not have the effect of changing the balance of power in the country, it could lead to a continued loss of confidence amongst the population which could lead to greater social strife and further fracture an already divided society.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Welcome, and great to hear you are  back, "I have now become a pro Najib blogger." a rueful confidence from whom I noted to guess who. 

There were importance recognitions found in your explicit presumption. My take which reveal awareness to march along progress is more important than retreat. With  political instability at large would hinder progress and brings it to an halt, is my view of hopeless recovery.

I behold there is no power struggle between the pairs. It was merely  in deducing from dense fabrication and then inflamed by the exchange of untidy minds. In fact the pairs are in the best of team in trust for our nation to progress. Neither vow nor spelt their policies are headed in right political direction for the wellbeing of our socio-economic to transform for betterment. Therefore, we deserves our accreditation to their management of political stability on the premise of 1 Malaysia expression.  Adverse essay or otherwise is no for thinkable option to us, I think.

The assumed power struggle between the principle pairs is political suicidal for the nation. The nation could not effort to be led into political instability because of theirs loggerheads. Though it has gained for capricious notion but it did not tremble the nation as yet, as long as the pairs remain political abstemious with fullest realization for political stability.

Shadow Banker said...

Hello hello
Btw Anon 1147
Your now officially pengkomentar Numero Uno.

"There is no power struggle between the pairs" - perhaps because the Deputy knows he is outgunned and outmatched. But there are many who want to incite him to take on his boss.

Kutukandewata said...

golongan mamak bila campur politik dia akan jadi manusia gelojoh.sejarah telah membuktikannya.jatuhnya kerajaan melaka angkara mamak.watak utamanya sikitol dan raja mandeliar.watak sampingan naina sura dewana.watak pemusnah naina katu!!!

sejarah moden terukir kisah yang sama.nuar ibrahim alias raja mandeliar,kadir sheikh fadil alias si kitol.